Today's edges across six leagues.

Model: Halfback try-rate vs PAR is +18% above league avg. DCE has scored in 3 of last 5 vs Eels.

Model: Walsh leads NRL fullbacks for first-try probability when scoring early. NQC concede first try 47% at home.

Model: Hynes is averaging 0.42 try involvements/g over last 4. Roosters concede most halfback tries in the comp.

Model: Bontempelli avg 31.2 last 6 vs taggers below COL's rating. Disposal cap unlikely with Ladhams unavailable.

Model: HAW concede most disposals to mid #1s (+12% vs avg). Petracca freed up since Pickett rest.

Model: Cripps scoring shot rate up 24% post-bye. Cats forward 50 D rated #14 against mids.

Model: Skenes K-rate 33.4% all season. STL whiffs 26% on fastball — 4th worst in MLB.

Model: Wheeler vs NYM lineup CSW% +12%. Mets bottom-third K-rate vs RHP this month.

Model: Cease velocity holding 97.2 mph. COL travel-fatigued bullpen forces extended start.

Model: Haaland xG/90 = 0.93 vs bottom-12 home. WHU concede 1.7 xG/g away. Sim hits 65.8%.

Model: Saka SoT/90 = 2.4 home. BOU low-block forces wide shots — Saka leads PL for SoT vs deep blocks.

Model: Fernandes booking rate 38% this season. BRE high press triggers protest cards.

Model: Top peak rating in field, drawn 4 with leader speed. Sectional gain projected at +0.8L on tempo map.

Model: Trial form elite — beat Group-3 placegetter by 1.5L. Stable strike-rate at first start 28%.

Model: Distance specialist with 4-from-6 over 2000m+. Track bias suiting on-pace runners today.